MrAnalyst — Pre-Match: 
New Zealand vs Egypt 
Group G · 6/21 - 9:00 PM EDT
Market odds — consensus of 48 books (The Odds API)
| Implied | Decimal | American | |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Zealand |
~17% | 5.93 | +493 |
| Draw | ~25% | 4.01 | +301 |
| Egypt |
~63% | 1.59 | -169 |
Total O/U 2.5 · Over 2.04 · Under 1.78
Best price: New Zealand 6.60 @ Smarkets · Draw 4.30 @ BetUS · Egypt 1.64 @ GTbets
Form (last 5, recent first)
- New Zealand: D-L-L-W-L · IRN 2-2 D · ENG 1-0 L · HAI 4-0 L · CHI 4-1 W · FIN 0-2 L
- Egypt: D-L-W-D-W · BEL 1-1 D · BRA 2-1 L · RUS 1-0 W · ESP 0-0 D · KSA 0-4 W
Read
Egypt are heavy favourites with a 63% implied win probability, but New Zealand won the most recent meeting 1‑0 in March 2024. The Kiwis’ form is patchy (one win in five), while Egypt have been steadier, losing just once in that span.
Keys to the 90
- Egypt’s defensive record: three clean sheets in five, and the under‑2.5 goals market implies a 56% likelihood.
- New Zealand’s upset potential: they beat Egypt this year and also posted a win over Chile in their last five.
- Market caution: despite Egypt’s odds, the draw (25%) and NZ win (17%) suggest a non‑trivial chance of a stalemate or surprise.
Verdict
Lean under 2.5 goals given both sides’ recent low‑scoring patterns and the odds skew (not betting advice).
Mesa de Análisis · odds: 48-book consensus via The Odds API · form via ESPN · model-assisted · not betting advice